It seems like North Korea is unhappy with the South at the moment, but why what changed? For decades, North Korea was officially committed to reunification, and in their constitution, both North and South claimed over the whole of the peninsula.
What We Know So Far?
Recently, in January, the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-un declared South Korea, his principal enemy. He decided to cut off all communication to an irretrievable level and had mentions of reconciliation or fellow countrymen scrubbed from the record.
North Korea has ramped up with weapons testing, bombarded the South with trash, carrying balloons, threatening walls, overdrawn, incursions, and blown up the roads and railway connecting lines in the country. Lim Eul Chul, a professor at Kyungnam University said, “North Korea is simply following through on what they said they would do,”
It seems to reflect the North’s determination to eliminate the South. But why now? Swathes of North Korea were hit by devastating floods this summer. It destroyed thousands of homes and farms, killing and displacing people. Seoul officials said, ‘Pyongyang came into the picture recently with the conflict of the South to deflect from growing domestic content.’
The North claims that fuel-fluid drones over the area have major security breaches and have appeared on the front page to tighten up security and control the media. The South Korean military stated that this is a way to rally North Korean citizens who have grown weary of the fake dictatorship of the Kim family. National Security Adviser Shin Wong Sik said North Korea is escalating tensions to tighten up its unstable internal affairs. North Korea is a regime that paradoxically maintains its stability by the existence of external threats to existence. He had a state broadcast interview.
What About The Drones?
US-based analyst Ankit Panda said, ‘South Korea’s military has been flying drones over the capital. Pyongyang’s Entry regime propaganda is a remarkable development that showcases one of the pathways through which he could be serious about escalation between the two countries.’
Due to the lack of robust air defenses, North Korea is a bit insecure about the incursions. Kim Jong-un directly stated that drones over their national capital could provide the kind of reconnaissance at the time of war that would allow South Koreans to strike directly at Kim Jong-un.
But talking about the Sea military, they have pointed out the North has repeatedly sent drones into the South, including Seoul”s district of Yongsan, where the presidential compound will be located in 2022.
What If Russia Is Involved?
The historic allies brought Russia and North Korea closer since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. Seoul claims, Kim has been shipping arms to Moscow to use against Kyiv and the Ukrainian President recently accused the North of sending troops to Russia’s army. After the North blew up inter-Korean roads and railways, ally China urged all sides to avoid escalation. But Russia blames the drones saying it was a gross encroachment on the sovereignty of North Korea.
Russia and North Korea are not only engaging, violating military trade and reviving the Cold War era diplomatic commitments, said Easley.
North and South Korea have long been logged in cycles of escalation. Pyongyang has been repeatedly the same blown-up topic for the key infrastructure in the past to make foreign policy points. In 2008, it blew up a cooling tower at a nuclear complex after the United States agreed to remove this from its list that sponsors terrorism. In 2018 after it was signed, reducing military deals with the South, it simultaneously detonated 10 guard posts.
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